article / 経済エネルギー

Corporate Death Spiral: The Strategy Inc. $12.4B Systematic Loss

07/02/2026

1. Introduction: The $2 Trillion Disappearing Act

In October 2025 the digital asset ecosystem was intoxicated by its own hubris.(英語)Bitcoin(BTC)は、正式なエントリと政治的約束の完全な嵐によって裏付けられた、約$126,198の歴史的ピークをスケーリングしました。Fast forward to February 2026 and the industry ed a of al "speculative capit. "

The data has stripped away the last vestiges of the store-of-value myth. In a brutal four-month descent Bitcoin cratered to a 16-month low of approximately $60,000 This was no mere tical correction; it was a systemic ge that evaporated over 2 trillion in total et capization. As global fear indices spiked the Digital Gold" narrative did not just fail-it collapsed under the weight of its own internal contradictions. While tradonal safe ens thrived Bitcoin was osed as what it always been a-liquidity sponge that dries up the moment the macro environment turns hostile.

2. The Unraveling of the "Trump Bump"

The record-breaking heights of late 2025 were built on a fragile foundation of political optimism.(ペーパーバック)While the et lied October it so only after a lacklfirst half of the year charized by a inct "lack of regulatory ress" in. The eventual Trump Bump" relied on the assumption that a pro-crypto administration could override the gravity of monetary orthodoxy.

That illusion shattered with the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair. The "Warsh Reality" represents a pivot toward aggressive monetary tightening and a reduction of the Fed's balance sheet—a liquidity drought that is poison for decentralized assets.

“The optimistic narrative associated with the administration has been 'an é antissement' annihilated”notes Charlie Sherry of BTC Markets.

The market is no longer pricing in a crypto-friendly utopia; it is pricing in a "cocktail of uncertainty" defined by liquidity shortages and the swift withdrawal of institutional capital that was once thought to be "sticky".(英語)"

3. The "Digital Gold" Mirage: Bitcoin vs. The Real Thing

2026年のクラッシュはヘッジ負債に定義された答えを提供しました。While geopolitical friction over interests in Greenland and ming tin an sent estors tard genuine stability treated Bitcoin as an "ATM of resort. To cover margin calls on tech-heavy portfolios investors liquidated their digital holdings for "fresh money" proving Bitcoin's correlation with the Nasdaq is structural not incidental.

Asset Performance (October 2025 – February 2026)

AssetPerformanceNotes
Bitcoin~50% DeclineCrashed from ~126,198 peak to ~60,000 floor.
Physical Gold~24% IncreaseRallied to over $5,500/oz despite Greenland/Iran tensions.

The divergence is total. While physical gold reclaimed its throne as the go-to asset in times of stress Bitcoin hers were ed a bonaire-dar liquidation. This serves as a stark reminder that in a true flight to quality investors prefer atoms to bits.

4. The AI Ripple Effect: How "Claude" Crushed Crypto

The Broader Tech Contagionの触媒は、ジェネレーティブAIにおける予期せぬブレークスルーでした。Anthropic s release of new "Claude" capabilities-specifically designed to automate high-level financial and legal tasks-sent a tremor through the "Software as a Service" SaaS sector.

The Market quickly realized that the massive capital spending in the AIセクターにおける大規模な資本支出は、Traditional software巨人のためのdiminishing returnsのinflection pointを表しています。これは、SP SaaSインデックスのplummetから15,896ポイントから1週間で13,000までの合計を見たパニックを引き起こしました。High-tech fronsts like Microsoft and Salesforce bled out and ause liquidity is a ed ween tech and digital assets the crypto ets were the first to feel the d. When Amazon announced a $200 billion expenditure for AI infrastructure it signaled the final exhaustion of market liquidity that had previously propped up Bitcoin s valuation.

5. The Corporate "Death Spiral" and the Leverage Trap

The most visible casualties of this shift are the Digital Asset Treasury"DAT companies. These firms led by the software-company-ted-hoarder "y" formerly Microy have themselcaught in a violent feedback. Strategy reported a catastrophic $12.4 billion loss in Q4 2025 sending its stock price screaming down from a July high of $457 to a low of $111

戦略はこの分野で一人ではない。UK-based Smarter Web Company saw its shares drop nearly 18% while Japan s Metaplanet and Nakamoto Inc。suffered similar double-digit declines。These entities are now caught in a leverage trap"as Bitcoin breached the critical tical floors of 70,000 and 60,000 automated selling was triged to isfy creditors

ターミナル命令の長さの特定。Michael Burry the perennial Cassandra of market bubbles has observed that Bitcoin is now "exposed as a completely speculative asset. Burry warned that the price action is ely to trigger a "death spiral" where ed liquidations by major hers flood the et with leaving no buyers at the bottom.

6. Conclusion: A New Crypto Winter or a Meaningful Base?

The 2026 capitis the of three es the hawkish shift tard monetary ghtening under Warsh an AI-driven tech anety that ined the et of fcapital and the indeath of the safe-haven hnarrative

Analysts at Bank now suggest that Bitcoin is unely to revisit its previous s noting a permanent lof institonal interest. While some et participants hfor a "meaningful base" to form after this flush-out of leverage the road ahead s increasingly narrow.

In an era of tightening liquidity and AI-driven industrial dominance the Digital Gold" myth has been retired. We are left with a sobering question If a decentralized asset can not provide safety during a global crisis and if it remains tethered to the very tech giants it was designed to replace what is its actual utility in the modern portfolio